Monday, November 4, 2019

What I've learned since moving to D.C. (some of which should be obvious): 0165

8201.  Signs of a collectible bubble: 1.  Prices rise too fast – As a general rule, if an overall asset class is jumping by over 20-50% for an extended time, you’re probably looking at a bubble, but there are exceptions; 2.  New, oddly matched buyers are entering the market – When you’re looking at baseball cards, baseball fans are the natural audience.  For art, you expect art lovers.  Wine should attract oenophiles and so on.  If a market is suddenly attracting buyers that don’t logically fit, odds are good you’re seeing speculators pouring into a bubble; and 3.  Collectors are more interested in returns than collections – We love rare, tangible assets because they have built-in value escalators, an inherent advantage you just don’t see in other sectors.  Nearly all collectibles have dwindling supplies.  As long as demand remains stable or, even better, increases, prices will go up.  Most value is driven by collectors interested in the underlying asset, the happy byproduct of mass appeal and obsession.  If, suddenly, all anyone is talking about is the financial aspect of a collectibles market, watch out.  This is the equivalent of your taxi driver recommending stocks, a sure sign that we’re entering the manic part of a bubble.  One that will likely burst soon.  Baseball cards have been collectible for decades.  The market has been ignored for years after the bubble burst.  The crazy valuations have all worked their way through the system.  You won’t see prices double overnight, but you will see a slow, steady appreciation of value;
8202.  Know that progress is progress no matter how small;
8203.  If you have to doubt something doubt your limits;
8204.  If you want to get an idea of the cost of living in another country before you travel (there), try/use Numbeo (Numbeo.com);
8205.  Basics of negotiating: 1.  Remember that nobody cares about you. – When it comes to you, your manager cares about 2 things: A) how you’re going to make her/him look better; and B) how you’re going to help the company do well; 2.  Have another job offer and use it. – When you have another job offer, your potential employers will have a newfound respect for your skills.  People like others who are in demand; 3.  Come prepared (99% of people don’t). – Don’t pick a salary out of thin air.  Visit Salary.com and PayScale.com to get a median amount for the position.  If you can, talk to people currently at the company (and if you know someone who has recently left, even better, they’ll be more willing to give you the real information) and ask what the salary range really is for the job.  And, this is important, bring a plan of how you’ll hit your goals to the negotiating session; 4.  Have a toolbox of negotiating tricks up your sleeve. – Just as in a job interview, you’ll want to have a list of things in your head that you can use to strengthen your negotiation.  Think about your strong points and figure out ways you might be able to bring them to the hiring manager’s attention.  For example, ask, “What qualities make someone do an extraordinary job?”  If they say, “The person should be very focused on metrics,” say, “That’s great that you said that we’re really on the same page.  In fact, when I was at my last company, I launched a product that used an analytical package to . . . .”; 5.  Negotiate for more than money. – Don’t forget to discuss whether or not the company offers a bonus, stock options, flexible commuting or further education.  You can also negotiate vacation and even job title.  Note: Startups don’t look very fondly on people negotiating vacations because it sets a bad tone.  But they love negotiating stock options because top performers always want more as it aligns them with company’s goals; 6.  Be cooperative not adversarial. – If you’ve gotten to the point of negotiating salary the company wants you and you want them.  Now you just need to figure out how to make it work.  Negotiation is about find a cooperative solution to creating a fair package that will work for both of you.  You should be confident not cocky and eager to find a deal that benefits you both; 7.  Smile – It’s a disarming technique to break up the tension and demonstrates that you’re a real person; 8.  Practice negotiating with multiple friends. – If you practice out loud, you’ll be amazed at how fast you improve.  Yet nobody ever does it because it feels “weird;” and 9.  If it doesn’t work, save face. – Sometimes the hiring manager won’t budge.  In that case, you need to be prepared to either walk away or take the job with a lower salary than you wanted.  If you do take the job, always give yourself an option to renegotiate down the line and get it in writing;
8206.  Always frame your negotiation requests in a way that shows how the company will benefit.  Don’t focus on the amount you’ll cost the company.  Instead, illustrate how much value you can provide the company.  If your work will help them drive an initiative that will make $1,000,000.00 for the company, point that out.  Tie your work to the company’s strategic goals and show the boss how you’ll make her/him look good.  Highlight the ways you’ll make your boss’s life easier by being the go-to person s/he can hand anything to.  And remember that your company will make much more off your work than they pay you so highlight the ways you’ll help your company hit its goals.  Your key phrase here is: “Let’s find a way to arrive at a fair number that works for both of us;”
8207.  Interview with multiple companies at once.  Be sure to let each company know when you get another job offer, but don’t reveal the exact amount of the offer.  You’re under no obligation to.  In the best case, the companies will get into a bidding war over you;
8208.  Most of the negotiation happens outside the room.  Call your contacts.  Figure out the salary amount you’d love, what you can realistically get and what you’ll settle for.  And don’t just ask for money.  Bring a strategic plan of what you want to do in the position and hand it to your hiring manager.  This alone could win you $2,000.00 to $5,000.00.  And it allows you to negotiate on the value you’re going to bring to the company not just the amount they’ll pay you;
8209.  (I can say) I’ve had a beer at (a) Taco Bell (Cantina);
8210.  Have a repertoire of your accomplishments and aptitudes at your fingertips you can include in your responses to commonly asked questions.  These should include: 1.  Stories about successes you’ve had at previous jobs that illustrate your key strengths; and 2.  Questions to ask the negotiator if the conversation gets off track (i.e., “What do you like most about this job? . . . Oh really?  That’s interesting because, when I was at my last job, I found . . . .”);
8211.  “Let’s talk about total comp” refers to your total compensation and not just salary.  Treat them each as levers: If you pull one up, you can afford to let another fall.  Use the levers strategically by conceding something you don’t really care about so you can both come to a happy agreement;
8212.  “I understand you can’t offer me what I’m looking for right now, but let’s assume I do an excellent job over the next 6 months.  Assuming my performance is just extraordinary, I’d like to talk about renegotiating then.  I think that’s fair right?”  (Get the hiring manager to agree.)  “Great.  Let’s put that in writing and we’ll be good to go;”
8213.  5 things you should never do in a negotiation: 1.  Don’t tell them your current salary. – If you’re asked, say “I’m sure we can find a number that’s fair for both of us.”  If they press you, push back: “I’m not comfortable revealing my salary so let’s move on.  What else can I answer for you?”  Note: Typically first-line recruiters will ask for this.  If they don’t budge, ask to speak to the hiring manager.  If the gatekeeper insists on knowing, tell them realizing you can negotiate later; 2.  Don’t make the first offer. – If they ask you to suggest a number, smile and say, “Now come on, that’s your job.  What’s a fair number that we can both work from?”  3.  If you’ve got another offer from a company that’s generally regarded to be mediocre, don’t reveal the company’s name. – When asked for the name, just say something general, but true like “It’s another tech company that focuses on online consumer applications.”  If you say the name of the company, the negotiator knows s/he’s got you.  S/he’ll tear down the other company and it will all be true.  S/he won’t focus on negotiating, s/he’ll just tell you how much better it will be at her/his company.  So withhold this information; 4.  Don’t ask “yes” or “no” questions. – Instead of “You offered me $50,000.00.  Can you do $55,000.00?” say, “$50,000.00 is a great number to work from.  We’re in the same ballpark, but how can we get to $55,000.00?” and 5.  Never lie. – Don’t say you have another offer when you don’t.  Don’t inflate your current salary.  Don’t promise things you can’t deliver.  You should always be truthful in negotiations;
8214.  It’s strange how many people make an effort to save on things like clothes and eating out, but when it comes to large purchases like cars make poor decisions and erase any savings they’ve accumulated along the way;
8215.  From a financial perspective, the most important factor when buying a car is how long you keep the care before you sell it;
8216.  You could get the best deal in the world, but if you sell the car after 4 years, you’ve lost money.  Instead, understand how much you can afford, pick a reliable car, maintain it well and drive it for as long as humanly possible.  That means you need to drive it for more than 10 years because it’s only once you finish the payments that the real savings start;
8217.  Knowing that there will be other expenses involved in the total expense of having a car, you want to decide how much you want to spend on the car itself.  For example, if you can afford a total monthly payment of $500.00 toward your car, you can probably afford a car that costs $200.00 to $250.00 per month (when factoring in insurance, gas, maintenance and parking);
8218.  What makes a good car: 1.  Reliability – If it’s a high priority, be willing to pay slightly more for it; 2.  A car you love – If you’ll be driving the car for a long time, pick one that you’ll enjoy driving; 3.  Resale value – To check out how your potential cars will fare, visit Kelley Blue Book (KBB.com) and calculate resale prices in 5, 7 and 10 years; 4.  Insurance – The insurance rates for a new and used car can be pretty different; 5.  Fuel efficiency – This could be an important factor in determining the value of a car over the long term; 6.  Down payment – If you don’t have much cash to put down, a used car is more attractive because the down payment is typically lower; 7.  Interest rate – The interest rate on your car loan will depend on your credit.  If you have multiple sources of good credit, your interest rate will be lower;
8219.  Don’t be afraid to walk out if the car dealer tries to change the finance terms on you at the last minute.  This is a common trick;
8220.  (Do) calculate the total cost of ownership of a car including maintenance, gas, insurance and (the) resale value;
8221.  Buy a car that will last you at least 10 years and not one that looks cool;
8222.  Don’t lease.  Leasing nearly always benefits the dealer and not you;
8223.  Don’t sell your car in less than 7 years.  The real savings come once you’ve paid off your car loan and have driven it for as long as possible.  Most people sell their cars far too early.  It’s much cheaper to maintain your car well and drive it into the ground;
8224.  Don’t assume you have to buy a used car.  Run the numbers.  Over the long term, a new car may end up saving you money if you pick the right new car, pay the right price and drive it for a long time;
8225.  Don’t stretch your budget for a car.  Set a realistic budget for your car and don’t go over it.  Be honest with yourself.  Other expenses will come up, maybe car related and maybe not, and you don’t want to end up struggling because you can’t afford your monthly car payment;
8226.  Apparently, hounds are smelly dogs;
8227.  Apparently, there are purple bell peppers;
8228.  She may say otherwise, but a Brazilian wax is really for her;
8229.  Elizabeth likes bacon-wrapped dates . . . and (egg) custard/flan;
8230.  Hiking (the Appalachian Trail) . . . check . . . in the mountains . . . (double) check . . . in the woods . . . (triple) check;
8231.  (Putting) apple on pizza works (specifically the “Our Famous Bratwurst” pizza with bratwurst, grilled onions, apples, mozzarella, fresh marinara & balsamic reduction at Blue Mountain Brewery (BlueMountainBrewery.com) in Afton, Virginia) . . . Who knew?
8232.  You must negotiate mercilessly with car dealers.  If you’re not a hardball negotiator, take someone with you who is;
8233.  If possible, buy a car at the end of the year when dealers are salivating to beat their quotas and are far more willing to negotiate;
8234.  You can order a customized report of the exact car you’re looking for from Fighting Chance (FightingChance.com).  It’ll tell you exactly how much car dealers are paying for your car including details about little-known “dealer withholdings.”  The service also provides specific tips for how to negotiate from the comfort of your own sofa;
8235.  You should buy a house only if it makes financial sense;
8236.  If you can’t afford to put at least 20% down (for a house), set a savings goal and don’t even think about buying until you reach it;
8237.  Even if you’ve got a down payment, you still need to be sure you make enough (money) to cover the monthly payments;
8238.  Chances are you’ll want to buy a nicer house than you’re currently renting, which means the monthly payment will likely be higher;
8239.  When you buy a house, you’ll owe property taxes, insurance and maintenance fees that will add hundreds a month;
8240.  Even if your mortgage payment is the same as your monthly rental, your real cost will be about 40-50% higher when you factor everything in;
8241.  Unless you’re already loaded, you need to readjust your expectations and begin with a starter house.  Your first house probably won’t have as many bedrooms as you want.  It won’t be in the most amazing location, but it will let you get started making consistent monthly payments and building equity;
8242.  When you go through a traditional real estate agent, there are large transaction fees usually 6% of the selling price.  Divide that by just a few years and it hits you a lot harder than if you had held the house for 10 or 20 years.  There are also the costs associated with moving.  And depending on how you structure your sale, you may pay a significant amount in taxes;
8243.  Buy only if you’re planning to live in the same place for 10 years or more;
8244.  Buying a house is not just a natural step that everyone has to take at some point;
8245.  You need to save for a 6-month emergency plan in case you lose your job and can’t pay your mortgage;
8246.  If your house is your biggest investment, how diversified is your portfolio?
8247.  The facts show that real estate offers a very poor return for individual investors;
8248.  Yale economist Robert Shiller found from 1915 through 2015, home prices have increased on average only .6% per year. . . . Most people forget to factor in important costs like property taxes, maintenance and the opportunity cost of not having that money in the stock market;
8249.  You should think of your house as a purchase rather than as an investment.  And, just as with any other purchase, you should buy a house and keep it for as long as possible;
8250.  Buy a house only when: 1.  You can put 20% down; 2.  Get a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage; and 3.  Your total monthly payment represents no more than 30% of your gross income;

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